![]() None of the incumbents or leading candidates in three dozen Democrat-held seats that Republicans are targeting crossed that million-dollar threshold. And many more came close - notably, some of those in the GOP’s toughest turf such as Michigan’s Macomb County, New York’s Hudson Valley, and northern Los Angeles County. Brian Fitzpatrick (R-Pa.), Young Kim (R-Calif.) and Michelle Steel (R-Calif.). Of the 31 Republicans whom Democrats have vowed to oust in 2023, three raised more than $1 million in the second quarter of the year: Reps. Brian Fitzpatrick raised more than $1 million in the second quarter of the year. Roughly half of the targeted Democrats and Republicans did not have challengers during the second quarter, though more have launched in recent weeks - and some are already attributing the sluggish start to a presidential year with historically unpopular candidates. Yet there could still be major shifts in the landscape for 2024: Both parties’ recruitment has been slow to kick off, and each will have to work to plug holes throughout the rest of the off year. And Republicans hope eye-popping numbers from their incumbents will act as deterrents for potential Democratic challengers - strengthening their position heading into 2024. With a margin of just five seats, they are defending a dozen and a half districts in Biden-friendly territory, from New York to California to Pennsylvania. That early cash advantage could be critical for the House GOP as they face a uniquely vulnerable position for 2024. “That’s a really big deal,” he said, “but we got a lot of work left to do” “We’ve turned a fundraising disadvantage into a massive strength.” “Over the last two cycles, House Republicans have fought to get to parity with Democrats when it comes to candidate dollars,” said House Majority Whip Tom Emmer, praising the work of the House GOP campaign arm. "So my advice to Republicans: take what the universe is giving you.The question now is whether the GOP can keep its momentum through next November as it competes with presidential candidates for donations. "Any minute you're not talking about the economy and quality of life is a lost minute … and frankly, it's a lost opportunity," he said. "The idea that we would lose to him or his successor is anathema to the average Republican so, to the extent Trump puts you in danger of doing that, I think that's going to be a pretty powerful message for some primary opponent to him."įor now, as long as Republicans stay focused on the issues and don't get distracted by relitigating the last election, the race is theirs to lose, he said. "And Democrats will have no one to blame but themselves." Fear of losing could propel competitorsĪs for the presidential contest, Jennings suspects that if Joe Biden does run, the fear of losing to him will drive some to reconsider their support for Trump. "The environment is so good for Republicans, it's conceivable to me that some of these candidates, even the poor candidates, could trip across the finish line in first place," he said. Bush, Mitch McConnell, Mitt Romney and others. It's a risky and cynical strategy, said Jennings, who has worked on the campaigns of George W. In Michigan, for example, the Democratic congressional campaign committee is accused of running ads to boost the chances of a candidate who has endorsed false election claims and conspiracy theories over freshman congressman Peter Meijer, who was one of 10 Republicans to vote to impeach Trump over the Jan. Vance, left, with the Republican Senate primary in Ohio last May. In some cases, says Jennings, Democrats are aiding the campaigns of Trump-endorsed candidates in hopes they will be easier to beat than establishment Republicans in the fall. Oz, who won their Senate primaries in Ohio and Pennsylvania, respectively, with help from Trump. Vance, a venture capitalist and author of Hillbilly Elegy, and celebrity surgeon Mehmet Oz, known as Dr. While an endorsement from him is no guarantee, it can make a difference in the districts with crowded primary slates where he can help long-shot candidates eke out a win, says Republican analyst Scott Jennings. Whether he announces before the midterms or not, Trump is already playing a role in the state primary contests. Trump endorsements help some but not all in primaries ![]() ![]() president in 2024 but is not sure he could beat former president Donald Trump. Ron DeSantis as her party's nominee for U.S. Duration 1:23 Ava Sherwood Erculiani, 19, of Evansburg, Pa., tells CBC's Katie Simpson why she would support Gov. ![]()
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